Strategy & Opportunity

The Strategy & Opportunity domain. 1 framework in this family. Each is graded honestly; see the evidence model for the tiers.

These frameworks work on the outside game: not how to frame or decide a bounded problem, but where the opportunity is and whether a direction survives a world that refuses to be predicted. The shared move is to stop treating the future as one forecast to optimize against and start treating it as a space - of forces outside your control, of plausible and divergent worlds - then prefer moves that hold up across that space over bets on one reading of it. Reach here once a problem is framed and options exist, to pressure-test direction before committing to it.

Framework	Evidence	What it does
Scenario Planning (2x2)	P	Produces a scenario set, 2-4 contrasting and internally consistent short narratives of alternative external futures named by two critical-uncertainty axes, plus a robustness read of the strategy across the worlds (which moves survive every world, which early signals show which world is arriving, which options to keep open).

Not sure which of these fits your situation? The Framework Advisor will diagnose the job and recommend a minimal sequence.